news.ycombinator.com
Ask HN: What do you predict the world will look like in 5-10 years?
With how much progress there has been in LLM and AI, what do you think is gonna look vastly different in the near future?
With how much progress there has been in LLM and AI, what do you think is gonna look vastly different in the near future?
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I think that while simple white collar jobs are being lost, white collar workers are being asked to take on more creative work.
I think we will have a huge hardware run and progress solving from healthcare to infrastructure. Bigger than anything we saw in the past.
Every child will own its own unicorn.
I imagine it will continue to look much the same as it has for millions of years plus or minus a bit of green, and possibly ever so slightly either more or less smoggy than it currently is. Oh, you mean like people and stuff? I'd wager there's probably going to be some. They'll probably still be consuming media and conversing in whatever the currently popular format is. There will be work getting done and work that no longer needs doing, career fields emerging and ending. Kinda pretty much the way it's always been, I bet, you know with the way everything's always changing and yet remains the same.
There are many possible futures, but the one that will come to pass is the one we collectively allow to happen. To a degree, of course. A future that I like to imagine is one where LLM scaling laws hit a plateau. Plateau-level LLMs become commodities. They get distilled into small sizes. Everybody can have plateau-level local LLMs. People discover that it’s better to be a local-powered independent centaur than to be a reverse centaur for a mega-corp.